Gold prices soared to a historic high above $3,500 per ounce on Tuesday as investors sought safe-haven assets amid escalating market volatility. The surge comes as Wall Street faces a steep sell-off, driven by renewed political and economic uncertainties under the Trump administration.

Gold Hits Record High as US Stocks and Dollar Tumble

Spot gold reached an all-time peak of 3,500.05/oz∗∗beforesettlingat∗∗3,475.48/oz, marking a 33% increase since the start of 2025. The rally reflects growing investor anxiety as US stocks suffer heavy losses, with the S&P 500 down 2.5% on Monday.

The US dollar also weakened sharply, hitting a seven-month low against the yen and a three-and-a-half-year low against the euro. Analysts attribute the dollar’s decline to fears over Fed independence after President Trump’s latest criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whom he labeled a “loser” while demanding an interest rate cut.

Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING, noted:
“The dollar is under pressure due to concerns over Fed independence, which undermines its role as a reserve currency. While we expect this depreciation to be temporary, market sensitivity to political interference remains high.”

Global Markets Shift Away from US Assets

Investors are increasingly diverting capital from US equities into European and Asian markets. Recent data shows 10.6billionpulledfromUSequityfunds∗∗,while∗∗Europeanfundsattracted11 billion.

  • FTSE 100 rose 0.3%, signaling cautious optimism.

  • Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.5%, while Asian markets edged higher.

  • Sterling climbed to $1.34, its highest level since September 2024.

Naeem Aslam, Chief Investment Officer at Zaye Capital Markets, observed:
“The massive capital shift into Europe and Asia highlights investors’ search for stability amid US political risks.”

Is a US Recession Looming?

Goldman Sachs analysts suggest that while recession risks have risen, markets may have already priced in significant downside. They noted:
*”The S&P 500’s 21% drop in 2025 implies investors see a 60-70% chance of recession. However, our base case remains no recession, meaning potential upside if economic data improves.”*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Gold remains a top safe-haven asset amid market turbulence.

  • US dollar weakness could persist if Fed independence concerns grow.

  • European and Asian markets are benefiting from capital rotation.

  • US stocks may rebound if recession fears ease, but risks remain high.

As uncertainty lingers, gold’s rally underscores its role as a hedge against instability, while global markets adjust to shifting investor sentiment. Stay tuned for further updates on gold prices, Fed policy, and market trends.

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