The Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate remained subdued on Wednesday, as investors reacted to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) interest rate decision. Despite the widely anticipated rate cut, the currency pairing showed limited movement, with market sentiment driving price action.

Canadian Dollar (CAD) Unmoved by BoC Rate Cut

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggled to gain momentum on Wednesday as traders awaited the BoC’s latest policy announcement. The central bank followed through on expectations by lowering interest rates, yet the ‘Loonie’ remained largely rangebound.

External factors also contributed to CAD’s subdued performance. Fluctuating oil prices, a key driver for the Canadian Dollar, kept investors cautious. Additionally, tariff uncertainties between the US and Canada created further market unease. While Donald Trump rolled back 50% of previously announced tariffs, lingering tensions over 25% levies on Canadian electricity exports to the US left investors wary.

Despite the rate cut, the BoC hinted that ongoing trade conflicts could impact economic growth, while also acknowledging that trade tensions might fuel inflationary pressures.

Pound (GBP) Struggles Amidst Market Uncertainty

Meanwhile, the Pound (GBP) traded within a tight range on Wednesday due to a lack of key UK economic data. As a risk-sensitive currency, Sterling struggled to find direction amid broader market instability.

Investor concerns over global trade tensions, particularly between the US and its trading partners, added to GBP’s uncertainty. While the UK signaled a reserved stance on potential retaliatory measures, stating that it preferred a ‘pragmatic’ approach, ongoing developments kept traders on edge.

However, some positive sentiment emerged from the geopolitical landscape. Progress in US-Ukraine negotiations resulted in a 30-day ceasefire agreement, raising hopes of a de-escalation in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. This development supported risk appetite, providing mild relief to GBP investors.

Looking ahead, the absence of significant UK and Canadian economic releases on Thursday may leave GBP/CAD at the mercy of broader market sentiment. Any signs of escalating US-Canada trade disputes could weigh on the Canadian Dollar, particularly if further tariffs or retaliatory measures are introduced.

Additionally, oil price fluctuations remain a crucial factor for CAD. If optimism surrounding a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire causes oil prices to decline, the crude-linked Canadian Dollar could weaken.

For GBP, the next key event is Friday’s UK GDP report. Analysts expect a sharp slowdown in economic growth, with January’s GDP anticipated to drop from 0.4% in December to just 0.1%. A weaker-than-expected reading could put additional pressure on Sterling, potentially causing GBP/CAD to end the week on a bearish note.

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