XRP Plunges to Multi-Week Low, But a Key Metric Hints at a Potential Rebound

Ripple’s XRP felt the sting of a broader cryptocurrency market sell-off, tumbling to a low of $0.478 recently—its weakest point in over two weeks. While the digital asset has since pared some losses, trading around $0.488 at the time of writing, it still reflects a significant 5% drop over the last 24 hours.

This downturn saw XRP’s market capitalization dip below $27 billion, causing it to be overtaken by other major assets in the rankings. The price decline has undoubtedly tested investor resolve, but a critical technical indicator is now flashing a signal that hasn’t been seen since late June, suggesting a potential rebound could be imminent.

Oversold Signal: RSI Drops to a 3-Month Low

Amid the price weakness, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum oscillator, has plunged below 30, even briefly touching 20. This is the most oversold reading for XRP in three months.

For traders, the RSI measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes to identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 typically suggests that an asset may be oversold and due for a corrective bounce, while a reading above 70 indicates it may be overbought. As explained in-depth by Investopedia, the RSI is a cornerstone of technical analysis for this reason. The current deep oversold condition implies that the selling pressure may have been overdone, creating conditions for a possible price recovery.

Community and Analysts Weigh In: Key Levels to Watch

Despite the negative price action, sentiment within the XRP community remains notably resilient. Prominent market commentator John Squire described the drop as a mere “coffee break,” reminding followers of the asset’s history of weathering far more severe downturns.

Technical analysts are pinpointing specific price levels that could dictate XRP’s next move. Well-followed analyst EGRAG CRYPTO emphasized that holding the short-term support zone around $0.477 is critical for maintaining a bullish structure. A breach below this level could open the door for a test of more substantial long-term support near $0.455.

Adding a layer of on-chain data to the technical picture, analyst Erica Hazel highlighted that the majority of open positions on major exchanges like Binance are currently long, indicating traders are betting on a price increase. Furthermore, she noted significant exchange outflows of over $66 million in 48 hours. As often reported by CoinDesk, large outflows can signal that investors are moving their holdings into cold storage for long-term safekeeping, which reduces immediate selling pressure on the market.

The Verdict: Is a Rebound Imminent?

While the short-term charts look bearish, the confluence of a deeply oversold RSI, strong community holding sentiment, and supportive on-chain metrics suggests that the foundation for a rebound may be forming. For bulls to regain control, a decisive break above key resistance near $0.55 is likely needed. A move above this level could invalidate the current bearish momentum and pave the way for a test of higher targets.

As with all cryptocurrency investments, this analysis should be part of a broader strategy. For the latest regulatory developments that can significantly impact XRP’s price, resources like Reuters’ Fintech coverage provide essential context. Traders will be watching closely to see if this oversold signal marks a temporary pause in the downturn or the beginning of a significant trend reversal.