Oil Markets React: Crude Prices Drop Sharply Amid Middle East Ceasefire

Oil prices tumbled to their lowest levels in over a week after US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, easing fears of supply disruptions in the key oil-producing region.

Key Price Movements: Brent & WTI Crude Decline

  • Brent crude futures fell 2.9% to $69.40 per barrel, hitting their lowest since June 11.

  • US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 3% to $66.48, after briefly plunging 6% earlier in the session.

The ceasefire, set to take effect immediately for Iran and within 12 hours for Israel, could mark the end of a 12-day conflict that had threatened Middle East oil supplies.

Why Oil Prices Are Falling

  • Reduced Supply Risks: Iran, OPEC’s third-largest producer, can resume normal exports if tensions ease.

  • Strait of Hormuz Concerns Fade: The critical oil shipping chokepoint (handling 20% of global supply) is now less likely to face disruptions.

  • Market Correction: Prices had surged last week on war fears, but traders are now pricing in stability.

Analyst Insights: What’s Next for Oil?

  • Priyanka Sachdeva (Phillip Nova): “If the ceasefire holds, oil markets could return to normalcy.”

  • Tony Sycamore (IG): “The risk premium built into oil prices last week has evaporated with the ceasefire news.”

Technical Outlook: Resistance Levels in Focus

Oil faces strong resistance between $78.40 and $80.77 (2024 highs). Analysts say only a major supply shock could push prices higher now.

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