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<\/a><\/p>\nBitcoin Rallies on Trump’s Tariff Pause Announcement
\nThe Bitcoin price surged 5% in under an hour on April 9, reclaiming $83,000 after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China). The move triggered a broader market rally, with the S&P 500 gaining 8%.<\/p>\n
However, BTC derivatives data suggests traders remain cautious, particularly due to uncertainty around:<\/p>\n
US long-term bond yields<\/p>\n
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts<\/p>\n
Macroeconomic stagflation risks<\/p>\n
Why Are Bitcoin Traders Hesitant?
\n1. Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty
\nThe CME FedWatch Tool shows the probability of rate cuts below 4% by September 17 dropped from 97.6% to 69.7% in just one day (April 8-9).<\/p>\n
FOMC meeting minutes revealed concerns about stagflation, dampening hopes for aggressive monetary easing.<\/p>\n
2. 10-Year Treasury Yield Volatility
\nA declining 10-year yield signals weakening confidence in US debt sustainability.<\/p>\n
Economist Peter Boockvar warns: “Foreign investors may continue reducing US Treasury holdings.”<\/p>\n
Rising yields could increase debt rollover costs, further pressuring the US dollar.<\/p>\n
3. Bitcoin Derivatives Show Mixed Signals
\nBTC futures premium briefly exceeded 5% but failed to sustain momentum.<\/p>\n
Options skew spiked to 12% (bearish) before stabilizing at 3% (neutral) post-tariff news.<\/p>\n
Perpetual futures funding rates remain in a neutral range (0.4%-1.4%), indicating no extreme leverage demand.<\/p>\n
Key Takeaways for Crypto Investors
\n\u2705 Short-term bullish momentum from tariff pause
\n\u26a0\ufe0f Long-term caution due to Fed policy & bond market risks
\n\ud83d\udcc9 Derivatives suggest traders are waiting for clearer signals<\/p>\n
What\u2019s Next for Bitcoin?
\nMacroeconomic data (inflation, jobs reports) will dictate Fed rate decisions.<\/p>\n
BTC price stability above $80K could attract stronger institutional interest.<\/p>\n
A break above $85K may confirm a new bullish phase.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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